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Transportation Forecasting

Model Improvement Plan - Proposition 84 Funding Request       Regional Travel Demand Forecasting Model       Contact Us
Model Improvement Plan - Proposition 84 Funding RequestTop of Page
Butte County Association of Governments (BCAG) staff has prepared a Model Improvement Plan (MIP) as part of a proposal for Proposition 84 funding.  The awarding of funds is being administered by the California Strategic Growth Council (SGC) and is available for viewing by selecting the link below.

Click Here for a copy of BCAG's proposal (revised May 2010).

For more information regarding the MIP, please contact Brian Lasagna, BCAG Senior Planner, by phone at 879-2468 or by email at blasagna@bcag.org.
Regional Travel Demand Forecasting ModelTop of Page
The Butte County Association of Governments (BCAG) maintains a regional transportation model, also known as a regional travel demand forecasting model, for the Butte County region.  The model is used to develop forecasts for the region's transportation network and to assist in the analysis of regional transportation plans and air quality conformity determinations.

The BCAG transportation model is consistent in form and function with the standard traffic forecasting models used in the transportation planning profession.  The model is a three step travel demand forecasting model consisting of Trip Generation, Trip Distribution, and Trip Assignment and produces forecasts for daily, AM peak hour, and PM peak hour conditions.  In addition, the model is calibrated to traffic counts for what is conventionally termed a "typical workday", which is defined as a Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday during a week with no holidays and when schools are in session.  The latest model utilizes TransCAD 4.8 software, which is consistent with many of the models used by local jurisdictions in California and Caltrans.

 
CLICK HERE to view the Model Development Report (appendices removed) 3.6MB.
CLICK HERE to view the Model Development Report - Appendix A 128KB.
CLICK HERE to view the Model Development Report - Appendix B 3.5MB.
CLICK HERE to view the Model Development Report - Appendices C to H 390KB.

CLICK HERE to view the 2035 Traffic Volume Forecasts for select locations.
Contact UsTop of Page
If you have comments or questions regarding the Regional Transportation Model, please contact Brian Lasagna, Senior Planner at (530) 879-2468, or by email at blasagna@bcag.org.
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