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Growth Projections

BCAG Long-Term Regional Growth Forecasts
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Forecasts 2018-2045 (April 2021)
As part of BCAG's Post Camp Fire Study, the provisional regional forecasts were revised and extended to the year 2045.  The revised forecasts are available as Appendix A of the Post Camp Fire Study and can be accessed at https://postcampfirestudy.com/ 
 
Forecasts 2018-2040 Provisional (September 2019)
BCAG has prepared draft Provisional Long-Term Regional Forecasts for the Butte County region in coordination with local partners through BCAG's Planning Director's Group.  The forecasts are prepared every 4-years and are utilized in developing BCAG’s Regional Transportation Plan (RTP), Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS), Air Quality Conformity Determination, and Regional Housing Needs Plan and provides data support for BCAG’s regional Travel Demand Model. Local land use planning agencies may also elect to utilize the forecasts for preparing district plans or city and county long range plans.
 
The forecasts have been prepared as the Camp Fire related impacts to population, housing, and employment are still being assessed. Therefore, the figures will be noted as provisional and updated upon the completion of the Camp Fire study and incorporated in the development of BCAG’s 2024 RTP/SCS.
 
The forecasts will remain in draft format until the BCAG Board's adoption of the 2020 RTP/SCS in December of 2020.
 
 

Department of Finance Population ProjectionsTop of Page

The Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance, prepares population projections for the counties of California.
 
 

Department of Finance School Enrollment ProjectionsTop of Page

The Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance, prepares projections of California public K-12 graded enrollment and high school graduates by county.

Butte County Public K-12 Graded Enrollment Projections (December 2015)
 
Butte County Public K-12 Graded Enrollment Projections (October 2008)

See DOF Demographic Research website for more details.

CA Department of Transportation Socio-Economic ProjectionsTop of Page

Caltrans Transportation Economics Branch prepares long-term socio-economic forecasts for each county on an annual basis.

See Caltrans Long-Term Socio-Economic Forecasts website for more details.